The Oscars are Sunday, as you may have heard, and everyone wants to know what will win. Although this year has more of my favorites than ever nominated, and the Academy has awarded some of my favorite films of past years recently (The Hurt Locker, No Country for Old Men, There Will Be Blood), my care level for this year’s Oscars are at an all time low.
This is not to say I won’t watch them, because I certainly do. But now that it is almost March, I am anticipating the releases of Uncle Boonmee, Certified Copy, and Meek’s Cutoff than focusing on last year’s films. Sure there are people that will only watch “Oscar” movies, and I’m glad The Hurt Locker found an audience because of its unbelievable win that I still find perplexing. However, the self-congratulatory atmosphere is almost unbearable, and the awards themselves are almost pointless.
I’ve always enjoyed the awards given at the Cannes film festival, mainly because they are willing to give ties, extra awards, and make a statement for the hell of it. The Romanian film 4 Months, 3 Weeks, and 2 Days beat No Country for Old Men in 2007. Both are excellent films, but the Cannes jury made an important statement by stating that Romanian cinema had truly made an impact on the world.
I don’t think the Oscars have ever made a statement as much simply accept a consensus. Sure, it made for one really great book once, but otherwise, the Oscars are an afterthought on the year. They play like nostalgia, a revisiting of some of our favorites, as well as some films we despise. Below you can find my choices for who will win, who I would like to win, and who should have been nominated. I’ll provide links to my reviews of each of the films when I have them. I’m skipping the short categories—I didn’t see them, and I'm sure they are worth checking out, but I haven't had time.
If you want real awards coverage, I suggest checking out Kris Tapley and Guy Lodge on InContention.Com—They do a great job, and at least pretend to care a hell of a lot more than I do.
Click on through for predictions...
Best Picture
Will Win: The King’s Speech
Should Win: Winter’s Bone
Should Have Been Nominated: Carlos
Best Director
Will Win: David Fincher, The Social Network
Should Win: David Fincher, The Social Network
Should Have Been Nominated: Olivier Assayas, Carlos
Best Actor
Will Win: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
Should Win: Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Should Have Been Nominated: Edgar Ramierez, Carlos
Best Actress
Will Win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
Should Have Been Nominated: Lesley Manville, Another Year
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Should Win: John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone
Should Have Been Nominated: Armie Hammer, The Social Network
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
Should Win: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Should Have Been Nominated: Ruth Sheen, Another Year
Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: David Seidler, The King’s Speech
Should Win: Mike Leigh, Another Year
Should Have Been Nominated: Olivier Assayas and Dan Franck, Carlos
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Should Win: Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini, Winter’s Bone
Should Have Been Nominated: Alex Garland, Never Let Me Go
Best Animated Film
Will Win: Toy Story 3
Should Win: Toy Story 3
Should Have Been Nominated: Tangled
Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: In a Better World, Denmark
Best Documentary
Will Win: Inside Job
Should Win: Exit Through the Gift Shop
Should Have Been Nominated: Last Train Home
Best Editing
Will Win: Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter, The Social Network
Should Win: Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter, The Social Network
Should Have Been Nominated: Lee Smith, Inception
Best Cinematography
Will Win: Roger Deakins, True Grit
Should Win: Roger Deakins, True Grit
Should Have Been Nominated: Benoit Debie, Enter the Void
Best Art Direction
Will Win: Eve Stewart and Judy Farr, The King’s Speech
Should Win: Jess Gonchor and Nancy Haigh, True Grit
Should Have Been Nominated: Francesca Balestra Di Mottola, I Am Love
Best Costume Design
Will Win: Jenny Beavan, The King’s Speech
Should Win: Antonella Cannarozzi, I Am Love
Should Have Been Nominated: Jeffery Kurland, Inception
Best Original Score
Will Win: Alexandre Desplat, The King’s Speech
Should Win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network
Should Have Been Nominated: Clint Mansell, Black Swan
Best Original Song
Will Win: “We Belong Together” by Randy Newman, Toy Story 3
Should Win: “I See the Light” by Alan Menken and Glenn Slater, Tangled
Should Have Been Nominated: “Life During Wartime” by Todd Solondz, Life During Wartime
Best Makeup
Will Win: Rick Baker and Dave Elsey, The Wolfman
Should Win: Rick Baker and Dave Elsey, The Wolfman
Should Have Been Nominated: Paola Cristofaroni, I Am Love
Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Inception
Should Win: Inception
Should Have Been Nominated: The Social Network
Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Richard King, Inception
Should Win: Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey, True Grit
Should Have Been Nominated: Black Swan
Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Lora Hirschberg et al, Inception
Should Win: Ren Klyce et al, The Social Network
Should Have Been Nominated: Kevin O’Connell, Unstoppable
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